It’s been a campaign like no other, essentially one jaw dropping moment after another.
Even as recent polls show Hillary Clinton taking a 10-point lead, it seems like from here on in, the only thing certain in the race for the U.S. presidency is that nothing is certain any more.
But at least one man thinks he knows who will win, and he’s so sure he’s putting money on it. Paul Krishnamurty is a political gambler, and this year he’s betting it all on blue.
Krishnamurty says he’s held from the beginning that Trump would lose the contest, but says that goes double now that he’s under the microscope.
He says Trump’s recent week in the media has him more confident than ever in his betting plan.
“His campaign is an absolute catastrophe. And the Republican party are paying the price for not dumping him.”
That week involved a public spat with the parents of a dead war hero, refusing to endorse Paul Ryan and John McCain, and apparently ejecting a baby from a rally, just to name a few gaffes.
But what does Krishnamurty say to those who argue Trump seems to be able to do and say anything and get away with it?
“He does do or say anything. But he’s got a ceiling on his support, has had a ceiling on his support really since the end of February, beginning of March. You know, he only got 43%-44% of the vote in the Republican primaries, and this is very unrepresentative section of America.”
Krishnamurty argues Trump only managed to win the primaries because it was such a fractured field, with 17 candidates, in which his bombastic style earned him media and sucked the air out of the room.
But he says in a head to head contest, where media scrutiny is singularly focused on Trump, he’s in trouble.
“The last week has been so bad, it’s been one absolute disaster after another, and I just see it going that way for three months.”
With the campaign going so badly, is it possible the GOP could look to dump Trump?
Krishnamurty says if The Donald does for some reason pull out of the race (it’s too late for the party to legally force him out, though he could be pressured), it might be tough for Trump’s fallen primary opponents gain traction.
“You wonder whether they could pick someone who clearly lost to Trump in the primaries like Rubio or Cruz.”
He says so far, it seems like there are three names being thrown around with Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker the top of the list.
He says Trump’s running mate, Mike Pence, would be another possibility, along with House Speaker Paul Ryan.
But he says its an open question whether even this could revive the campaign, adding, “they’re in crisis.”