A forestry expert is saying that an early start to wildfire season doesn’t mean the fires will continue for the rest of the summer.
UBC’s dean of forestry John Innes says dry weather is the biggest predictor of forest fires.
He says the long term forecast says our summer will be dry but the further ahead a prediction, the less certain it is.
“We may have a dry summer, the long term forecasts are beginning to suggest, but we could have a very wet period at any time and that would completely change the moisture content of the fuel in the forest”
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Innes adds a good dose of rain would make the trees and bushes much less likely to catch fire.
“Any long term weather forecast is a challenge. The models that are used by meteorologists tend to be quite good for two to three days, (but) the longer you look ahead the less certain they become.”
Innes says anyone planning camping trips should keep their plans but respect camp fire bans.
He warns that failing to respect fire restrictions can lead to high fines and imprisonment.